We are
THE FUTURE OF ENERGY

things are changing
but is it fast enough?

According to the World Bank’s 2024 Tracking report, for the first time in decades, the number of people around the world living without electricity is going up. We are not on track to meet SDG7. Africa only has 1% of installed solar photovoltaic capacity while holding 60% of the world’s best solar resources.

The problem is not a lack of money.

The problem is that it is not going to where it is most effective.

We exist to help solve this problem.

things are changing
but is it fast enough?

 

According to the World Bank’s 2024 Tracking report, for the first time in decades, the number of people around the world living without electricity is going up. We are not on track to meet SDG7. Africa only has 1% of installed solar photovoltaic capacity while holding 60% of the world’s best solar resources.

The problem is not a lack of money.

The problem is that it is not going to where it is most effective.

We exist to help solve this problem.

MEET
THE TEAM

The TFE team is composed of investment experts, electrical and software engineers, electrification experts and economists. We have a long history in emerging markets and considerable experience managing large, international, technical projects and liaising with the full spectrum of stakeholders, from investors and developers to energy end-users and government ministries. Our core team is fully staffed by African citizens.

WE SEE EXTRAORDINARY POTENTIAL FOR BOTH INVESTMENT AND REGENERATIVE SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT

Africa has approximately 40% of the world’s total solar potential. Yet in sub-Saharan Africa alone, 600 million people, or approximately 53% of the region’s population, live without access to electricity. Hundreds of millions more have only limited or unreliable electricity.

The continent is blessed with tremendous mineral resources and, crucially is home to the world’s youngest population, 70% of which is under the age of 30. 

The potential for growth is staggering.

We also see a potential to steer this growth in a way that leapfrogs many of the environmentally disastrous development steps of the so-called ‘developed’ world.

OUR VISION

OUR VISION

  • We see a future in which Africa takes her rightful place on the global stage.
  • We see a future in which wealth and opportunity are more equally shared.
  • We see equitable access to energy as being a cornerstone of this development.

 

OUR VISION

  • We see a future in which Africa takes her rightful place on the global stage.
  • We see a future in which wealth and opportunity are more equally shared.
  • We see equitable access to energy as being a cornerstone of this development.

 

Our History

We cut our teeth building some of the pioneering solar mini grids on islands in the middle of Lake Victoria, founded one of the largest digital smart meter companies in the sector, built pioneering energy consumption prediction models and achieved our hard-fought finance expertise testing out investment cases for renewables across the Global South. We now work advising governments and some of the largest players in the world of development finance and commercial finance.

access:energy

Our journey started almost two decades ago, living in rural Kenya, working locally to better understand energy access challenges and learning how to begin to build technologies and business models to address them.

leveraging the african telecoms revolution

We won awards building some of the world's first digital smart meters for mini grids, allowing people to buy solar energy using their phones in even the most rural of African locations.

TFE STARTS ITS JOURNEY

In 2017, our team of seasoned experts begins consulting widely across Africa and Southeast Asia on energy access and innovative 'frontier market' business models.

Satellites for energy access

TFE incubates and becomes the launchpad for VIDA, now an independent company using GIS data to measure impact and assess risk for sustainable infrastructure projects.

TFE launches the superpower africa fund

Leveraging our data expertise and skills with financial and business model innovation, we're launching the Superpower Africa Fund to provide essential working capital loans to companies previously considered to small or too risky to lend to. Our automated loan origination technology hugely reduces costs of risk assessment and transactions.

November 2012

Dr. Sam Duby co-founds Ashden Gold Award-winning company leveraging the data and mobile money revolution in Africa to monetise rural energy assets.

November 2018

African entity established to provide advisory services on the economics and use of data technologies for renewable energy expansion in frontier markets.

April 2020

We help launch VIDA, an earth observation and AI-powered custom software that enables data-driven investment, business and policy decisions.

January 2023

Leveraging hyper precision data and local market knowledge to supercharge regenerative investment into low-carbon technologies across Africa

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Our friends and partners

We value our extensive network enormously and constantly benefit from drawing on the collective skills and experience of those whose work we admire.
Here is a selection of some of the organisations we have, and continue to work with.

Come to us if you're looking for

• Energy access advisory
• In-depth market analysis
• Renewable energy expertise
• Productive use of energy expertise
• Structuring of funding programmes
• Advice on the impact of digital technologies
• Innovative finance and business model design
• A cup of tea

STILL HAVE A QUESTION? Contact Us

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Copyright 2024 The Future of Energy

DR. SAM DUBY

Managing Director

Multi-award winning innovator and thought leader in the energy access and frontier technology space, Sam has 15 years of field experience in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Sam leads our work on developing the Superpower Africa Fund, our upcoming receivables financing platform and is also involved in execution of our consulting work. Previously founding one of the pioneering mini grid and smart meter companies in Kenya has given him a deep understanding of the market dynamics that influence the success or failure of energy projects and practical experience with data and hardware in challenging environments. Sam holds a PhD in Low Cost Renewable Energies from Brunel University in the UK.

Nichola Richards

Project Manager

Nichola is a social scientist with expertise in energy transitions, energy policy and power sector reform. Nichola holds an MPhil in Sustainable Development and is an expert in the role of development finance in facilitating energy transitions. Since joining TFE in 2023, she has been managing one of our cornerstone projects with GET.invest and leading the structuring of bids for new impact-focused projects with development finance institutions.

LINDA SIBISI

Energy analyst

Linda Sibisi focuses on the intersection of environmental science, climate law, and renewable energy, advocating for sustainable and just transitions within the energy sector. His work includes research in climate change law, environmental impact assessments, and waste characterization. He holds a Bachelor of Social Science in Environmental & Geographical Science and Politics, a Bachelor of Science Honours in Environmental Management, and is currently pursuing an MPhil in Climate Change and Sustainable Development.

André Troost

Director of Consulting

André leads our consulting unit, bringing 10 years of experience improving the economics and tailoring the business models of distributed renewables in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. He joined TFE in its beginning days back in 2017, after completing his MPhil in Sustainable Development (Renewable Energy Economics) (cum laude) from Stellenbosch University. Over the last seven years, he has worked on the renewable energy markets of 15 countries across sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, including South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Djibouti and Myanmar. An expert in growing the markets for mini grids, solar home systems, captive power, clean cooking and electric mobility, André has a particular knack for getting down to the details: Running the numbers on techno-economic models, assessing the effects of taxes on the sector, mapping funding flows and presenting data-backed outputs to our clients.

JEROME CHIMPHONDA

ASSOCIATE

Jerome is a senior associate at TFE and an off-grid renewable energy social and policy expert. He has 8 years of experience, which includes on-ground research surveys to evaluate how off-grid energy access contibutes to just energy transitions and facilitation of renewable energy courses at tertiary education level. He plays a key role in some of our high-profile projects with RTI International and NEFCO. Fluent in English and Chichewa, Jerome is originally from Lilongwe, Malawi and is now based in our office in Cape Town.

Kelvin Kamande

Chief Data Scientist

Kelvin is a machine learning specialist with experience in feature engineering, machine learning model generation and model performance testing. Since 2020 Kelvin has worked on TFE projects across multiple sub-Saharan African countries including Nigeria, Kenya, Zambia, Mali and South Africa. He is also involved with our Superpower Africa Fund, where he builds yield prediction algorithms for mini grid connections using Python time-series prediction algorithms and analyses consumer survey data for energy consumption prediction. Kelvin knows his way around smart meter data – his work on clustering of mini grid consumers using their smart meter data and integration of GIS data with smart meter data for improved customer identification is central to our outputs. He holds a Master of Science in Information Technology from Carnegie Mellon University in Rwanda.

Dr. Tobias Engelmeier

Co-founder and strategic advisor

Tobias is our co-founder and continues to deliver strategic input in the expansion of TFE. Through the founding of VIDA.place in Germany, Bridge to India in India and TFE in South Africa, Tobias has established himself as an expert in emerging markets, distributed renewable energy business models, digital technologies, and the financing of distributed renewables. He has provided consulting services to energy industries in many sub-Saharan African countries and has advised governments on electrification planning and developed and raised infrastructure investment. Tobias holds a doctorate in political science.